← Back to the recap

Saturday · September 26 · 5:40 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph l to r

Final

D-backs 7
PADRES 10

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 7–10 Padres

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 40% 60% 4–5 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 53% 47% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 53% 47% — ✗
Random Forest San Diego Padres 34% 66% — ✓
Consensus San Diego Padres 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games