Sunday · September 27 · 12:11 PM ✦
D-BACKS @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 78 degrees, cloudy, wind 7 mph l to r
Final
D-backs
4
PADRES
9
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–2 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 4–9 Padres
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 2–2 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 60% | 40% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 62% | 38% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Arizona Diamondbacks | 78% | 22% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 57% | 43% | 3–2 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games