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Sunday · September 20 · 1:11 PM ✦

MARLINS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 76 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph l to r

Final

Marlins 3
PADRES 7

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 3–7 Padres

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 53% 47% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 47% 53% 4–3 ✓
Logistic San Diego Padres 49% 51% — ✓
Random Forest San Diego Padres 50% 50% — ✓
Consensus San Diego Padres 48% 52% 3–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games