Friday · September 25 · 6:40 pm ✦
D-BACKS @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 75 degrees, clear, wind 10 mph in from lf
Final
D-BACKS
11
Padres
4
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 11–4 D-backs
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 44% | 56% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 60% | 40% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 29% | 71% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games