Saturday · September 19 · 5:40 pm ✦
MARLINS @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 74 degrees, clear, wind 9 mph l to r
Final
Marlins
6
PADRES
7
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 6–7 Padres
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 23% | 77% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games