Tuesday · September 8 · 6:40 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 86 degrees, clear, wind 11 mph in from lf
Final
Nationals
4
PADRES
5
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 4–5 Padres
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 62% | 38% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 40% | 60% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 59% | 41% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 36% | 64% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games