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Wednesday · September 9 · 1:10 PM ✦

NATIONALS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 95 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph l to r

Final

Nationals 2
PADRES 9

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 2–9 Padres

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Padres Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 65% 35% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 64% 36% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Washington Nationals 51% 49% — ✗
Random Forest Washington Nationals 65% 35% — ✗
Consensus Washington Nationals 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games