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Friday · September 18 · 6:40 pm ✦

MARLINS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 71 degrees, clear, wind 11 mph in from lf

Final

Marlins 2
PADRES 8

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–8 Padres

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Padres Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 53% 47% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 44% 56% 4–4 ✓
Logistic San Diego Padres 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest San Diego Padres 38% 62% — ✓
Consensus San Diego Padres 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games