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Monday · September 7 · 2:12 PM ✦

NATIONALS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 91 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph l to r

Final

Nationals 2
PADRES 3

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 2–3 Padres

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Padres Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 53% 47% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 58% 42% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 51% 49% 3–2 ✗
Logistic Washington Nationals 58% 42% — ✗
Random Forest Washington Nationals 59% 41% — ✗
Consensus Washington Nationals 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games