Wednesday · August 26 · 1:11 PM ✦
PIRATES @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph l to r
Final
Pirates
0
PADRES
3
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 0–3 Padres
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58% | 42% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 33% | 67% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 54% | 46% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games