Friday · September 4 · 6:40 pm ✦
YANKEES @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph l to r
Final
Yankees
2
PADRES
3
Our Pick
NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 2–3 Padres
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Yankees | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Yankees | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Yankees | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Yankees | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | New York Yankees | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 34% | 66% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Yankees | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Yankees this season
83–76
52% across 159 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games