Saturday · September 5 · 4:15 pm ✦
YANKEES @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r
Final
YANKEES
5
Padres
1
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 5–1 Yankees
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Yankees | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Yankees | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Yankees | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 27% | 73% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Yankees this season
83–76
52% across 159 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games