← Back to the recap

Sunday · August 23 · 1:11 PM ✦

TWINS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph l to r

Final

Twins 1
PADRES 8

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 1–8 Padres

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 45% 55% 4–5 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Minnesota Twins 53% 47% — ✗
Random Forest San Diego Padres 27% 73% — ✓
Consensus San Diego Padres 46% 54% 4–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games