Tuesday · August 25 ✦
PIRATES @ PADRES
Petco Park.
Final
PIRATES
1
Padres
0
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 1–0 Pirates
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 27% | 73% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games