Monday · August 24 ✦
PIRATES @ PADRES
Petco Park.
Final
PIRATES
3
Padres
2
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 3–2 Pirates
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 52% | 48% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games