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Saturday · August 22 ✦

TWINS @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

Twins 5
PADRES 7

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 5–7 Padres

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 44% 56% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 64% 36% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Logistic San Diego Padres 40% 60% — ✓
Random Forest San Diego Padres 37% 63% — ✓
Consensus San Diego Padres 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games