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Wednesday · August 12 · 1:10 PM ✦

BREWERS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r

Final

Brewers 3
PADRES 4

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 3–4 Padres

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 33% 67% 2–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 53% 47% 4–3 ✗
Logistic San Diego Padres 48% 52% — ✓
Random Forest San Diego Padres 28% 72% — ✓
Consensus San Diego Padres 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games