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Monday · August 10 ✦

BREWERS @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

Brewers 2
PADRES 3

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 2–3 Padres

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 60% 40% 3–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 64% 36% 4–3
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 46% 54%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

70–53

57% across 123 games

Padres this season

76–46

62% across 122 games