Friday · August 7 ✦
ASTROS @ PADRES
Petco Park.
Final
ASTROS
6
Padres
3
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 6–3 Astros
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 50% | 50% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games