Saturday · August 8 · 4:15 pm ✦
ASTROS @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 77 degrees, sunny, wind 11 mph l to r
Final
Astros
2
PADRES
3
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 2–3 Padres
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 60% | 40% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Houston Astros | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 41% | 59% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games