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Sunday · August 9 · 5:20 pm ✦

ASTROS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf

Final

Astros 2
PADRES 7

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–7 Padres

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Padres Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 62% 38% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic San Diego Padres 47% 53%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 35% 65%
Consensus San Diego Padres 50% 50% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

69–52

57% across 121 games

Padres this season

76–46

62% across 122 games