Thursday · July 30 ✦
GIANTS @ PADRES
Petco Park.
Final
GIANTS
4
Padres
1
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 4–1 Giants
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Giants | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 35% | 65% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Francisco Giants | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Francisco Giants | 59% | 41% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 46% | 54% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Giants this season
89–65
58% across 154 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games