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Wednesday · July 29 · 1:11 PM ✦

ROCKIES @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 77 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph l to r

Final

Rockies 1
PADRES 3

Our Pick

COLORADO ROCKIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Colorado Rockies · Actual: 1–3 Padres

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rockies Padres Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Colorado Rockies 73% 27% 5–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 47% 51% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Colorado Rockies 60% 40% 5–3
Logistic San Diego Padres 44% 56%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 35% 65%
Consensus Colorado Rockies 54% 46% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rockies this season

73–48

60% across 121 games

Padres this season

76–46

62% across 122 games