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Sunday · July 12 · 1:11 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 73 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph l to r

Final

Blue Jays 4
PADRES 5

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 4–5 Padres

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 40% 60% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 40% 60% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 38% 62% 3–4
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 55% 45%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 48% 52%
Consensus San Diego Padres 46% 54% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

62–63

50% across 125 games

Padres this season

77–46

63% across 123 games