Sunday · July 12 · 1:11 PM ✦
BLUE JAYS @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 73 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph l to r
Final
Blue Jays
4
PADRES
5
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 4–5 Padres
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games