Tuesday · July 28 · 6:40 pm ✦
ROCKIES @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 74 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf
Final
Rockies
7
PADRES
8
Our Pick
COLORADO ROCKIES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Colorado Rockies · Actual: 7–8 Padres
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rockies | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Colorado Rockies | 60% | 40% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Colorado Rockies | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Colorado Rockies | 65% | 35% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Colorado Rockies | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Colorado Rockies | 58% | 42% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Colorado Rockies | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rockies this season
73–48
60% across 121 games
Padres this season
76–46
62% across 122 games