Saturday · July 11 ✦
BLUE JAYS @ PADRES
Petco Park.
Final
Blue Jays
7
PADRES
8
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 7–8 Padres
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 64% | 36% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 26% | 74% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games