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Thursday · July 9 ✦

D-BACKS @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

D-BACKS 3
Padres 1

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 3–1 D-backs

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Padres Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 44% 56% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 64% 36% 5–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 49% 51% 3–3
Logistic San Diego Padres 46% 54%
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 58% 42%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 53% 47% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

70–54

56% across 124 games

Padres this season

77–46

63% across 123 games