Friday · July 10 ✦
BLUE JAYS @ PADRES
Petco Park.
Final
BLUE JAYS
5
Padres
3
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 5–3 Blue Jays
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 32% | 68% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games