Wednesday · July 8 ✦
D-BACKS @ PADRES
Petco Park.
Final
D-backs
4
PADRES
10
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 4–10 Padres
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Arizona Diamondbacks | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 52% | 48% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games