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Wednesday · July 8 ✦

D-BACKS @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

D-backs 4
PADRES 10

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 4–10 Padres

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Padres Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 58% 42% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 60% 40% 4–3
Logistic San Diego Padres 43% 57%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 45% 55%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 52% 48% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

70–54

56% across 124 games

Padres this season

77–46

63% across 123 games