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Tuesday · July 7 ✦

D-BACKS @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

D-backs 1
PADRES 4

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 1–4 Padres

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 56% 44% 3–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 49% 51% 3–2
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 42% 58% 2–3
Logistic San Diego Padres 47% 53%
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 63% 37%
Consensus San Diego Padres 50% 50% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

46–39

54% across 85 games

Padres this season

54–29

65% across 83 games