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Tuesday · July 7 ✦

D-BACKS @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

D-backs 1
PADRES 4

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 1–4 Padres

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 56% 44% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 49% 51% 3–2 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 42% 58% 2–3 ✓
Logistic San Diego Padres 47% 53% — ✓
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 63% 37% — ✗
Consensus San Diego Padres 50% 50% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games