Back to the recap

Monday · July 6 ✦

D-BACKS @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

D-BACKS 8
Padres 0

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 8–0 D-backs

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Padres Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 75% 25% 4–2
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 45% 55% 3–3
Logistic San Diego Padres 34% 66%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 45% 55%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 52% 48% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

46–39

54% across 85 games

Padres this season

54–29

65% across 83 games