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Wednesday · June 24 · 5:40 pm ✦

BRAVES @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph in from lf

Final

Braves 2
PADRES 5

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–5 Padres

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 47% 53% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 44% 56% 3–3
Logistic San Diego Padres 45% 55%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 45% 55%
Consensus San Diego Padres 47% 53% 3–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

45–40

53% across 85 games

Padres this season

54–29

65% across 83 games