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Friday · June 26 · 6:45 pm ✦

DODGERS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 68 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r

Final

Dodgers 1
PADRES 7

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 1–7 Padres

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Padres Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 53% 47% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 67% 33% 5–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 38% 62% 4–4
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 53% 47%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 37% 63%
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 53% 47% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

52–33

61% across 85 games

Padres this season

54–29

65% across 83 games