Back to the recap

Tuesday · June 23 ✦

BRAVES @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

Braves 6
PADRES 7

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 6–7 Padres

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Padres Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 62% 38% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 60% 40% 5–3
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 58% 42% 4–3
Logistic Atlanta Braves 52% 48%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 61% 39%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 57% 43% 4–3
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

45–41

52% across 86 games

Padres this season

54–30

64% across 84 games