Wednesday · June 10 · 1:11 PM ✦
REDS @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 74 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph l to r
Final
Reds
4
PADRES
5
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 4–5 Padres
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games