Monday · June 22 · 7:10 pm ✦
BRAVES @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 67 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph l to r
Final
Braves
0
PADRES
1
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 0–1 Padres
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 64% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 58% | 42% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 56% | 43% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games