Monday · June 8 · 6:40 pm ✦
REDS @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 67 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to rf
Final
Reds
2
PADRES
6
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 2–6 Padres
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 60% | 40% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 59% | 41% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 54% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
49–36
58% across 85 games
Padres this season
54–30
64% across 84 games