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Monday · June 8 · 6:40 pm ✦

REDS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 67 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to rf

Final

Reds 2
PADRES 6

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 2–6 Padres

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Padres Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 60% 40% 3–2 ✗
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 53% 45% 3–3 ✗
Logistic San Diego Padres 47% 53% — ✓
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 59% 41% — ✗
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 54% 45% 3–3 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games