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Tuesday · June 9 · 6:40 pm ✦

REDS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 70 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf

Final

REDS 5
Padres 3

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–3 Reds

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Padres Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 56% 44% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 53% 47% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 58% 40% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic San Diego Padres 43% 57%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 42% 58%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 51% 48% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

49–36

58% across 85 games

Padres this season

54–30

64% across 84 games