Saturday · June 6 ✦
METS @ PADRES
Petco Park.
Final
Mets
2
PADRES
3
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 2–3 Padres
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 58% | 42% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
49–37
57% across 86 games
Padres this season
54–30
64% across 84 games