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Friday · June 5 · 6:40 pm ✦

METS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 68 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf

Final

METS 5
Padres 0

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 5–0 Mets

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 44% 56% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 44% 56% 4–3
Logistic New York Mets 50% 50%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 45% 55%
Consensus San Diego Padres 47% 53% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

49–37

57% across 86 games

Padres this season

54–30

64% across 84 games