Tuesday · May 26 ✦
PHILLIES @ PADRES
Petco Park.
Final
PHILLIES
4
Padres
3
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 4–3 Phillies
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 64% | 36% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 35% | 65% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
56–31
64% across 87 games
Padres this season
55–30
65% across 85 games