Wednesday · May 27 ✦
PHILLIES @ PADRES
Petco Park.
Final
PHILLIES
3
Padres
0
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–0 Phillies
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 30% | 70% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
56–31
64% across 87 games
Padres this season
55–30
65% across 85 games