Monday · May 25 · 3:40 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 67 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph l to r
Final
PHILLIES
3
Padres
0
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 5–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–0 Phillies
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 49% | 51% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 36% | 64% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 50% | 50% | 5–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games