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Sunday · May 24 · 1:10 pm ✦

ATHLETICS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 66 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph in from lf

Final

ATHLETICS 5
Padres 2

Our Pick

ATHLETICS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Athletics · Actual: 5–2 Athletics

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 44% 56% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 60% 40% 4–4 ✓
Logistic San Diego Padres 49% 51% — ✗
Random Forest Athletics 58% 42% — ✓
Consensus Athletics 50% 50% 4–4 ✓
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games