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Monday · May 18 · 6:40 PM ✦

DODGERS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 66 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r

Final

Dodgers 0
PADRES 1

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 0–1 Padres

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 40% 60% 5–5
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 49% 51% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 60% 40% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 60% 40% 5–4
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 55% 45%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 40% 60%
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 52% 48% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

23–21

52% across 44 games

Padres this season

31–12

72% across 43 games