Tuesday · May 19 ✦
DODGERS @ PADRES
Petco Park.
Final
DODGERS
5
Padres
4
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 5–4 Dodgers
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Dodgers | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Los Angeles Dodgers | 56% | 44% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Los Angeles Dodgers | 65% | 35% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Dodgers this season
23–21
52% across 44 games
Padres this season
31–12
72% across 43 games