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Friday · May 8 · 6:46 PM ✦

CARDINALS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 68 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r

Final

CARDINALS 6
Padres 0

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 2–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 6–0 Cardinals

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 29% 71% 2–4
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 31% 69% 2–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 35% 65% 2–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 25% 75% 2–4
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 60% 40%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 48% 52%
Consensus San Diego Padres 40% 60% 2–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

27–17

61% across 44 games

Padres this season

31–12

72% across 43 games