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Saturday · May 9 ✦

CARDINALS @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

Cardinals 2
PADRES 4

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–4 Padres

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 42% 58% 2–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 35% 65% 3–5 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Logistic San Diego Padres 48% 52% — ✓
Random Forest San Diego Padres 47% 53% — ✓
Consensus San Diego Padres 43% 57% 3–4 ✓
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games