Back to the recap

Saturday · May 9 ✦

CARDINALS @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

Cardinals 2
PADRES 4

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–4 Padres

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 42% 58% 2–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 35% 65% 3–5
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 40% 60% 3–4
Logistic San Diego Padres 48% 52%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 47% 53%
Consensus San Diego Padres 43% 57% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

27–17

61% across 44 games

Padres this season

31–12

72% across 43 games