Back to the recap

Sunday · May 10 · 1:12 PM ✦

CARDINALS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 68 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph l to r

Final

Cardinals 2
PADRES 3

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–3 Padres

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 38% 62% 3–4
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 40% 60% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 40% 60% 3–3
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 55% 45%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 46% 54%
Consensus San Diego Padres 44% 56% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

27–17

61% across 44 games

Padres this season

31–12

72% across 43 games