Thursday · May 7 · 7:11 PM ✦
CARDINALS @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 64 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph l to r
Final
CARDINALS
2
Padres
1
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–1 Cardinals
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 38% | 62% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 31% | 69% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 65% | 35% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
27–17
61% across 44 games
Padres this season
31–12
72% across 43 games